Edge · Futures
Super Bowl Futures
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Live now. Each team's market price sits next to our fair value — the price our season simulation says is break-even — and a value% read. Positive value% means the market price is longer than fair; it is an informational lean, not a graded play. Futures markets are efficient and these can drift all summer.
| Team |
Market |
Mkt implied |
Fair prob |
Fair price |
Value% |
"Fair prob" is de-vigged (the sportsbook margin removed so it reads as a true probability); "Mkt implied" is the raw market price converted straight to a probability, so that column sums to more than 100%. Value% is a model-vs-market read and is informational only. Entertainment & information only · 21+ · Please bet responsibly.