Edge · Game Lines
Game Lines
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ℹ️
Win probability, projected spread and total are shown beside the de-vigged market number for every game. These are informational projections, not graded bets — NFL game lines are sharp and our testing showed no repeatable edge against the closing number. Use the model-vs-market delta to find where our read leans, then do your own work.
| Matchup |
Home win% |
Mkt spread |
Model spread |
Δ spread |
Mkt total |
Model total |
Δ total |
Lean |
Model spread and Model total are the model's own numbers — they touch no market field, so the Δ columns are the model's real disagreement with the book. The Lean column is a separate, market-anchored view. De-vig removes the book's margin so probabilities sum to ~100%. Δ columns are model minus market and are informational only. Entertainment & information only · 21+ · Please bet responsibly.